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Oscar Season 2024-2025; Final Predictions for Oscar Night, Part 1; Will the Academy spread the wealth or can box-office champ "Wicked" feast on craft categories; "Emilia Perez" flirting with a shut-out; Brazil and Latvia chase Oscar History

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Manage episode 468882578 series 3635017
İçerik Jules & Joseph tarafından sağlanmıştır. Bölümler, grafikler ve podcast açıklamaları dahil tüm podcast içeriği doğrudan Jules & Joseph veya podcast platform ortağı tarafından yüklenir ve sağlanır. Birinin telif hakkıyla korunan çalışmanızı izniniz olmadan kullandığını düşünüyorsanız burada https://tr.player.fm/legal özetlenen süreci takip edebilirsiniz.

On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS:

  • BAFTA awards stall FLOW’s momentum, Latvia likely to fall short of historic win in Animated Feature
  • Dreamworks Animation to ride studio-best 3 Oscar nominations into first Animated Feature win in nearly two decades
  • Brazil to make OSCAR HISTORY - surging I'M STILL HERE poised to upset EMILIA PEREZ and capture first International Film title for the country
  • Netflix’s EMILIA PEREZ wrestles to maintain hold as International Film favorite, can the film survive Mexican controversy and growing unpopularity?
  • Does BAFTA snub foretell of trouble for NO OTHER LAND at the Oscars?
  • With win at DGA, can PORCELAIN WAR upset in Documentary and result in a three-peat for the Ukrainian War in the category?
  • DUNE: PART TWO still favorite for VFX Oscar with BAFTA win, but Visual Effects Society snub leaves the door open for WICKED
  • DUNE: PART TWO vs. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN vs. WICKED - a three-headed monster in SOUND makes it nearly impossible to select a favorite
  • Cratering EMILIA PEREZ tries to salvage Original Song win, but Diane “Never-Say-Die” Warren might just deliver the death blow
  • THE SUBSTANCE the clear front-runner for Makeup Oscar, but can a win give Demi Moore an edge in Best Actress?
  • WICKED's Paul Tazewell to makes OSCAR HISTORY as first black man and only second black costume designer to win Costume. Nathan Crowley to FINALLY win Production Design (without Christopher Nolan)!
  • An absolute free-for-all in Film Editing - BAFTA win for CONCLAVE either a mirage or the win that seals its fate on Oscar night!
  • Can Sean Baker get on stage four times on Oscar night?
  • Will EMILIA PEREZ and WICKED cancel each other out or ride their Sound nominations to a surprise victory in Film Editing?

  continue reading

Bölümler

1. Oscar Season 2024-2025; Final Predictions for Oscar Night, Part 1; Will the Academy spread the wealth or can box-office champ "Wicked" feast on craft categories; "Emilia Perez" flirting with a shut-out; Brazil and Latvia chase Oscar History (00:00:00)

2. Best Documentary Feature (00:01:04)

3. Best International Film (00:07:44)

4. Best Animated Feature (00:15:44)

5. Best Visual Effects (00:25:29)

6. Best Sound Design (00:32:38)

7. Best Original Score (00:57:01)

8. Best Original Song (01:06:27)

9. Best Makeup & Hairstyling (01:14:58)

10. Best Costume Design (01:19:25)

11. Best Production Design (01:24:39)

12. Best Cinematography (01:31:02)

13. Best Film Editing (01:37:48)

30 bölüm

Artwork
iconPaylaş
 
Manage episode 468882578 series 3635017
İçerik Jules & Joseph tarafından sağlanmıştır. Bölümler, grafikler ve podcast açıklamaları dahil tüm podcast içeriği doğrudan Jules & Joseph veya podcast platform ortağı tarafından yüklenir ve sağlanır. Birinin telif hakkıyla korunan çalışmanızı izniniz olmadan kullandığını düşünüyorsanız burada https://tr.player.fm/legal özetlenen süreci takip edebilirsiniz.

On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS:

  • BAFTA awards stall FLOW’s momentum, Latvia likely to fall short of historic win in Animated Feature
  • Dreamworks Animation to ride studio-best 3 Oscar nominations into first Animated Feature win in nearly two decades
  • Brazil to make OSCAR HISTORY - surging I'M STILL HERE poised to upset EMILIA PEREZ and capture first International Film title for the country
  • Netflix’s EMILIA PEREZ wrestles to maintain hold as International Film favorite, can the film survive Mexican controversy and growing unpopularity?
  • Does BAFTA snub foretell of trouble for NO OTHER LAND at the Oscars?
  • With win at DGA, can PORCELAIN WAR upset in Documentary and result in a three-peat for the Ukrainian War in the category?
  • DUNE: PART TWO still favorite for VFX Oscar with BAFTA win, but Visual Effects Society snub leaves the door open for WICKED
  • DUNE: PART TWO vs. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN vs. WICKED - a three-headed monster in SOUND makes it nearly impossible to select a favorite
  • Cratering EMILIA PEREZ tries to salvage Original Song win, but Diane “Never-Say-Die” Warren might just deliver the death blow
  • THE SUBSTANCE the clear front-runner for Makeup Oscar, but can a win give Demi Moore an edge in Best Actress?
  • WICKED's Paul Tazewell to makes OSCAR HISTORY as first black man and only second black costume designer to win Costume. Nathan Crowley to FINALLY win Production Design (without Christopher Nolan)!
  • An absolute free-for-all in Film Editing - BAFTA win for CONCLAVE either a mirage or the win that seals its fate on Oscar night!
  • Can Sean Baker get on stage four times on Oscar night?
  • Will EMILIA PEREZ and WICKED cancel each other out or ride their Sound nominations to a surprise victory in Film Editing?

  continue reading

Bölümler

1. Oscar Season 2024-2025; Final Predictions for Oscar Night, Part 1; Will the Academy spread the wealth or can box-office champ "Wicked" feast on craft categories; "Emilia Perez" flirting with a shut-out; Brazil and Latvia chase Oscar History (00:00:00)

2. Best Documentary Feature (00:01:04)

3. Best International Film (00:07:44)

4. Best Animated Feature (00:15:44)

5. Best Visual Effects (00:25:29)

6. Best Sound Design (00:32:38)

7. Best Original Score (00:57:01)

8. Best Original Song (01:06:27)

9. Best Makeup & Hairstyling (01:14:58)

10. Best Costume Design (01:19:25)

11. Best Production Design (01:24:39)

12. Best Cinematography (01:31:02)

13. Best Film Editing (01:37:48)

30 bölüm

Tüm bölümler

×
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: An uncertain future for Utah and the Sundance Film Festival Sundance 2025 again key to unlocking the early favorites for Best Documentary Oscar A24 teams with Pastel again on Eva Victor’s “Sorry, Baby” - screenwriting winner, early critics darling and standout debut among US Dramatic Competition Race for Best International Feature starts with selection of co-production titles among World Dramatic Competition - Canada, Argentina, North Macedonia, Turkey, India, UK, Poland, France Underdog “Omaha” and John Magaro pull on the heartstrings just right, dismiss the title at your own peril!! Crowd-pleasing debuts for “The Ballad of Wallis Island” and “The Wedding Banquet” look to signal sleeper hits for Focus Features and Bleecker Street in theaters this spring Josh O’ Connor makes first (but NOT last) festival stop this year with “Rebuilding” - in a year where he’s primed to finally break into major Oscar acting race Will the Academy Awards ever wake up to the artistic achievement of “Peter Hujar’s Day” director Ira Sachs? The BIG 3 titles from Sundance 2025! “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” kickstarts a big year for Safdie-esque cinema, BUT can this brand of filmmaking crossover with the Academy Awards in a big way? Can “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” succeed where “Hereditary” failed and finally bring Rose Byrne to the Oscars for Best Actress? Will “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” get lost among A24’s slate of films? Queer-Golden Age Hollywood musical hybrid “Kiss of the Spider Woman” has all the cards it needs for a long, successful Oscar run The prestigious legacy of “Kiss of the Spider Woman” - Bill Condon, William Hurt, Raul Julia, Sonia Braga, Hector Babenco, Kander & Ebb, Chita Rivera, Terrence McNally Colleen Atwood, Oscar-winning Sound Designers and veteran Production Designer and DP in the Oscar hunt for sumptuous visuals on display in “Kiss of the Spider Woman” Jennifer Lopez channels old-Hollywood glamour and dances her way to another Oscar bid for Best Supporting Actress in “Kiss of the Spider Woman” Tonatiuh poised for breakout year as Molina, Diego Luna's heartfelt turn and reputable career to figure in Best Supporting Actor Netflix bets on “Train Dreams,” but after last year’s “Sing Sing” can Bentley and Kwedar score consecutive Best Adapted Screenplay nods with prized source material? “Train Dreams” to factor into Best Cinematography, but is it going to miss the big-screen treatment? Joel Edgerton wins strong mentions for Best Actor but will he be the victim of the film’s use of voice-over? Is Netflix the right fit for “Train Dreams” Best Picture hopes? Where have all the distributors gone?! Big-name independents scaring themselves out of sure-fire Oscar contention and potential mass audience appeal…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: Oscar Sunday post-mortum Conan O'Brian takes his Oscar swing Musical performances - well executed, but arbitrary and favoritist? Supporting favorites stay perfect - category fraud a major advantage? Latvia’s FLOW surprises! And the telling connection between Animated Feature and Animated Short winners! WICKED makes Oscar History in Costume Design! But did it fall short of its potential wins? THE SUBSTANCE makeup controversy? Screenplay wins spotlight a battle between ANORA and CONCLAVE - New Academy vs. Old Academy Pesky short films prove difficult for any/every Oscar predictor Film Editing STILL key to securing Best Picture IN MEMORIAM - Gene Hackman, notable snubs and where’s David Lynch’s tribute?! DUNE, PART TWO doubles up wins and proves more liked than slight nominations suggest I”M STILL HERE leads Brazil to historic win! EMILIA PEREZ can’t overcome Mexican controversy Adrien Brody proves SAG win optional Sean Baker defends movie theaters! Unpacking Demi Moore’s loss, Mikey Madison’s “upset” and Fernanda Torres’s shortcoming A new Best Picture winner! Final Takeaways - stats that survived, forecasting future trends, Cannes is King and Oscar voting body in transition…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: BAFTA awards stall FLOW’s momentum, Latvia likely to fall short of historic win in Animated Feature Dreamworks Animation to ride studio-best 3 Oscar nominations into first Animated Feature win in nearly two decades Brazil to make OSCAR HISTORY - surging I'M STILL HERE poised to upset EMILIA PEREZ and capture first International Film title for the country Netflix’s EMILIA PEREZ wrestles to maintain hold as International Film favorite, can the film survive Mexican controversy and growing unpopularity? Does BAFTA snub foretell of trouble for NO OTHER LAND at the Oscars? With win at DGA, can PORCELAIN WAR upset in Documentary and result in a three-peat for the Ukrainian War in the category? DUNE: PART TWO still favorite for VFX Oscar with BAFTA win, but Visual Effects Society snub leaves the door open for WICKED DUNE: PART TWO vs. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN vs. WICKED - a three-headed monster in SOUND makes it nearly impossible to select a favorite Cratering EMILIA PEREZ tries to salvage Original Song win, but Diane “Never-Say-Die” Warren might just deliver the death blow THE SUBSTANCE the clear front-runner for Makeup Oscar, but can a win give Demi Moore an edge in Best Actress? WICKED's Paul Tazewell to makes OSCAR HISTORY as first black man and only second black costume designer to win Costume. Nathan Crowley to FINALLY win Production Design (without Christopher Nolan)! An absolute free-for-all in Film Editing - BAFTA win for CONCLAVE either a mirage or the win that seals its fate on Oscar night! Can Sean Baker get on stage four times on Oscar night? Will EMILIA PEREZ and WICKED cancel each other out or ride their Sound nominations to a surprise victory in Film Editing?…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: CONCLAVE an easy call for Adapted Screenplay. Can any other film catch up? ANORA loses ground in Original Screenplay, but can A REAL PAIN really capitalize on a BAFTA win after its Best Picture snub? Kieran Culkin undefeated in Supporting Actor Race Why Zoe Saldaña will cruise to a win in Supporting Actress; Isabella Rossellini too far behind Can Adrien Brody stop the late-breaking surge for Timothée Chalamet? Or will Oscars choose Bob Dylan over giving Brody two Lead Actor Oscars? Demi Moore vs Fernanda Torres vs Mikey Madison; one of Oscars biggest upsets is brewing, and her name is TORRES Is Sean Baker in the clear for Best Director? It's PGA & DGA winner VS. SAG & BAFTA winner for the big prize, again ANORA vs CONCLAVE for Best Picture; get ready for a great night for ANORA…
 
On this episode of Academy Anonymous: Taking a look at the surprise wins at the Bafta/SAG awards, and what they mean for the race Why Demi Moore’s BAFTA loss is a huge RED FLAG Can Timothée Chalamet really beat Adrien Brody for that Oscar? Discussing the momentum shift towards CONCLAVE, and why it may derail ANORA…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: The state of the race after ANORA’s weekend DGA-PGA-Critics-Choice-wins Recapping some curious and possibly telling Critics Choice winners Why CONCLAVE is likely the only film that can give ANORA some competition Predicting the winners of the BAFTA 2025 awards
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: We compare the Oscar nominees category-by-category against our final predictions Prediction blindspots & miscalculations VS. Accurate early hunches & last-minute "On The Pulse" gut feelings Oscar voting patterns - Stats that Stuck and Stats that Strayed Previewing winners and spoilers a month out from the Oscars ceremony We NOMINATE the Best of Nomination Morning and... the Worst…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: Has the Karla Sofía Gascon controversy sunk the "Emilia Pérez" campaign? Can anything be salvaged? Do Oscar voters care about social media backlash The problem at the heart of the Critics Choice Awards organization Forecasting the winners at the Directors Guild & Producers Guild A new front-runner after this weekend?…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: "Emilia Perez" - shoe-in and favorite to win OR shocking snub waiting to happen "Flow" flexes its appeal with dual mentions in International Film and Animated Film. Voters motivated to nominated Latvia for the first time in Academy history. "I'm Still Here" a sure-fire nominee, a massive box-office success for Brazil and a return for director Walter Salles Neon to secure "Seed of the Sacred Fig" among the five nominees "Kneecap" a strong dark horse after dominating at BAFTA "Vermiglio" poised to bring a female filmmaker back into International film for the first time since 2020 UK might have a winning recipe with break-out "Santosh" Netflix's inter-generational Thai film "How To Make Money Before Grandma Dies" a sleeper box-office hit and huge spoiler Diop's "Dahomey" lands in two longlists, looking good for at least one nomination and another success story for MUBI this year Double entries this year from Netflix, Sony Classics, MUBI, and Janus Can Sony Pictures Classics return to dominant form in this category and land two films among the five nominees, "I'm Still Here" and "Kneecap." A feat they have failed to repeat since 2018.…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: "Flow" outpacing worthy challengers in a striking Animated Feature category spotlighting diverse techniques, unique voices and international reach. Will the financial success of "The Wild Robot" help Dreamworks cross the finish line for the win - something that's evaded them since Aardman's Wallace & Gromit in 2005 Will we see the vote-split between international titles, "Flow" and "Memoir of a Snail" Will the two clay stop-motion features, "Wallace & Gromit" and "Memoir of a Snail" cancel each other out Can a robust nomination haul at the ANNIE awards mean that we're in for a surprise GKids nod for "Chicken for Linda" Can Disney's "Moana 2" use its boxoffice success to go further than "Frozen 2" Will Disney or Pixar be snubbed for their sequel work - as they've been in the past Will the lack of U.S. distribution be a factor against "No Other Land" National Geographic's "Sugarcane" and Netflix's "Daughters" eyeing nods and wins Will both or either colonialism related title, "Dahomey" and "Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat," secure a nod "Black Box" filmmaker may court favor with her first-hand account and powerful testimony Audience favorites "Will & Harper," "Porcelain War," and "The Remarkable Life of Ibelin" well positioned to surprise…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: How many photo-real animal work can the Visual Effects branch spotlight Is there room for both Weta's dystopian apes and dancing ape on the Visual Effects five Is the Ridley Scott name on the long list enough to carry “Gladiator 2” into a nomination Can “Twisters” and “Alien: Romulus” capitalize on their distinct settings and effects to distinguish themselves from the rest of the lineup Alex Garland looks to crash the Visual Effects category again after previously winning with “Ex-Machina” and reaping a nod from the Visual Effects Society with "Civil War" “Wicked” favored for a nod by pundits but not the traditional kind of work visual effects artists fall for, especially with the musical “Better Man” outperforming it at the VES Will Disney finally lose out on a Visual Effects nomination - their first since the category expanded in 2010? Or is Shawn Levy and his production company their “ace in the hole”? Can “Wicked” and “Emilia Perez" coexist in Best Sound, the first time for multiple musicals in the category since 1968 Can one-time Best Picture favorite “Blitz” use BAFTA nod to capture at least a single nod at the Oscar “A Complete Unknown” to continue Sound branch’s love for musical biopics and James Mangold projects “Dune, Part 2” bolstered in Sound by its Visual Effects nomination How a spot on the VFX longlist has bolstered the chances of “Gladiator 2,” “Deadpool & Wolverine,” and “Alien: Romulus” to steal a spot as a Best Sound nominee Can “The Wild Robot” find favor in the Sound branch - where few animated titles and only Pixar have been before?…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: Newcomer from "The Brutalist" likely to breakthrough at the Oscars Will "Conclave" composer suffer a snub due to his recent win for "All Quiet on the Western Front" "Wicked" unlikely to beat Original Score bias against Broadway musical adaptions "Emilia Perez" poised for three nods among both Song & Score categories Reznor & Ross just the right kind of magic to overcome BAFTA snub after Golden Globe win for "Challengers." Can they double-up song and score? "Nosferatu" proving to have broad voter appeal with BAFTA nod for its atmospheric music Hans Zimmer - disqualified for "Dune, Part 2" - hoping to get recognized for his body of work this year with Steve McQueen collaboration on "Blitz" Alberto Iglesias a possible spoiler in Original Score for another collaboration with Almodovar in "The Room Next Door" "Kneecap" Original Song nomination TOO IRRESISTIBLE an ending for a story-book year, especially after BAFTA haul Diane Warren tries for another win with Tyler Perry's "The Six Triple Eight" Too much Netflix in the Original Song longlist, likely to burn multiple contenders "Sing Sing" to capitalize on Best Picture buzz to land on Original Song Original Song may provoke voter confusion with longlist that has Lin-Manuel Miranda and "Moana 2" competing against each other, after having been nominated for their collaboration in 2016 Can "The Wild Robot" help Dreamworks land both score and song nods for the same film for the first time in their history? Vote-split effect among Original Song contenders? - Documentaries, animated features, blockbusters.…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: A very complete consensus five for Production Design A Robert Eggers breakthrough Below-The-Line Susie Davies just the right kind of vet and “Conclave” the right kind of vehicle to beat the “Contemporary Curse” Overlap between sister categories - Production Design, Costume Design and Makeup The mandatory Visual Effects nominee Can Production Design and Cinematography go 5-for-5 Directors who Production Designers seriously love - Tim Burton & Ridley Scott Is it ever wise to discount Arthur Max for a spot among the Production Design five Is the lineup COMPLETE without a historically-rendered period piece - the secret weapon for “A Complete Unknown” spoiler Can breakthrough “Nosferatu” Below-The-Line love translate into Best Picture…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: "Conclave" Costume Designer FINALLY breaks into Costume Designers Guild - but will it be enough to overcome the "Contemporary Curse" Jacqueline West falls short at BAFTA as "Dune, Part 2" loses ground "Wicked" the perfect recipe for Costume & Production Design crossover nods Robert Eggers and Linda Muir welcomed into BAFTA & CDG - "Nosferatu" looking good to double-up on Costumes & Makeup After FINALLY returning with a nod for last year's "Napoleon," can the Costume Designer of "Gladiator 2" go back-to-back? Arianne Phillips' BAFTA-"bounce-back" a promising sign for "A Complete Unknown" after guild and Makeup snub. Can Tim Burton's Makeup effects give "Beetlejuice Beetlejuice" an edge in the Makeup category As actress campaign stumbles, can "Maria" still reap nods Below-The-Line "The Substance" looking like the favorite for Makeup but is the team too unfamiliar for Academy voters "Emilia Perez" the rare international title to make Makeup guild - a positive sign or a red-herring In Makeup, where performance matters, at least one nod featuring the work of "Man of a Thousand Faces" Sebastian Stan looks promising All signs point to Makeup voters omitting any work modeled after real-life people. Will voters really go full-genre this year?…
 
On this episode of ACADEMY ANONYMOUS: ANORA & A REAL PAIN locks for Original Screenplay Two unconventional writing pieces in THE SUBSTANCE & THE BRUTALIST cement their chances for Screenplay with solid Best Picture bids, but are they really writers’ cup of tea? Four first-time nominees and the shrinking window for a veteran writer on the Original Screenplay shortlist. Can CIVIL WAR or SATURDAY NIGHT recover? Justin Kuritzkes to ride breakthrough year into first Oscar nomination for writer-fave CHALLENGERS A (too little too late?) boost for writer Mike Leigh’s HARD TRUTHS with vocal support from Barry Jenkins & Greta Gerwig ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT hopes for a solo nod in writing after being the rare critics darling not submitted for International Film Can the experimental NICKEL BOYS lock up a screenplay nod on the strength and popularity of its Pulitzer Prize-winning source material DUNE PART 2 struggling to repeat after Dune Part One’s nomination Can the Almodovar name push his English-language debut THE ROOM NEXT DOOR past musical fare SING SING vast writing team hopes to secure at least one nomination with writers Veteran CONCLAVE writer the favorite to finally win Former writing nominees, Mangold and Jay Cocks collaboration an easy call for Adapted Screenplay WICKED and EMILIA PEREZ trying to scale a mountain of history against them and land among the Adapted Screenplay nominees. Can ONE or BOTH beat the odds?…
 
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