Ep. 377 - How DO NFL DFS Sims Work, Handbuilders Can Still Win In 2024 & Exploiting Bad Drafters On Underdog w/ Brian Hooper

The Taekcast

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Davis Mattek is joined by Brian Hooper to discuss how sims are changing the NFL DFS landscape, what sims actually do, issues with the public facing sim products and how the field is missing the trick with Underdog Battle Royale contests

00:00 Intro 1:00 State Of The Nation For DFS Sims 3:15 What Are Sims Saying Is +EV This Year 5:50 What Actually Happens Inside Of A DFS Sim 7:30 Issues With Overcorrelations In Sims 11:20 Fragility In Projecting The Field In DFS 14:00 Knowing Ball Vs Knowing Nerd 19:30 Can You Still Win In DFS With A Solver 20:15 Input Volatility (How Do DFS Projections Work) 26:01 Changing Inputs In DFS Projections And How That Effects Sims 31:00 Why DFS Sims Want You To Always Play The Chalk 35:00 How A Handbuilder Should Play DFS In 2024 41:00 Can Sims Tell You When To Swap In DFS? 46:00 Is Battle Royale On Underdog The Last Beatable Daily Fantasy Sports Game? 52:00 God Knowledge Projection For Fantasy Sports 56:30 Anchoring Bias Of DFS Salary Vs Best Ball ADP

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