CFB Week 5 Preview + Best Bets !!
Manage episode 441665293 series 3429281
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football week 5 betting. Griffin and Ben are ready to cash some best bets this week. They cover this weeks biggest games and more.
Opening Thoughts (0:06 - 0:31)
- Speaker 3 delivers a motivational message emphasizing teamwork and tenacity: "Outblock them, outtackle them, outhit them, outhustle them...Leave no doubt tonight." This quote sets the tone for the podcast, signaling a focus on outworking the opponent in both football and sports betting, where preparation and focus are key.
Best Bets Review (0:52 - 2:40)
- Griffin Warner and Big East Ben recap their Week 4 bets, reflecting on losses like Maryland failing to cover against Villanova. They inject humor, with Warner making a light jab about AI: "Ben looks very intelligent today, and we’re going to bring you some intelligent picks."
- Big East Ben humorously criticizes Maryland for losing focus in the second half, referencing their past basketball glory led by Juan Dixon and Steve Blake. This serves as a reminder that discipline and consistency are crucial, both in sports and betting.
Game 1: Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State (3:47 - 7:03)
- Kansas State is favored by five points against Oklahoma State, a game influenced by Kansas State’s performance in Provo, where BYU scored multiple touchdowns via special teams and defense.
- Ollie Gordon's struggles are highlighted as Ben points out that a player with Heisman potential has been disappointing: "He has been garbage. I don't know why... Some journalist tweeted out he had syphilis." Though debunked, this illustrates how rumors can swirl around underperforming players, impacting perception.
Game 2: Louisville vs. Notre Dame (7:03 - 8:16)
- Notre Dame is a six-point favorite, facing a Louisville team led by a quarterback with 830 passing yards in three games. Ben anticipates a high-scoring game due to Louisville’s offensive firepower and recommends betting the over (46.5 points).
- Warner notes that Notre Dame's earlier loss to Northern Illinois was a “black mark,” yet he believes they will recover, laying the six points on Notre Dame.
Game 3: Georgia vs. Alabama (8:55 - 10:43)
- Georgia is a 2.5-point favorite over Alabama in what’s described as a potential “game of the season.” Ben anticipates a tight contest between two elite quarterbacks and suggests betting the over, predicting a high-scoring game.
- Warner, however, picks Alabama as a home underdog: "It’s scary to be against Georgia, but... I think Alabama passes that test."
Game 4: Illinois vs. Penn State (10:45 - 12:45)
- Illinois is an 18-point underdog against Penn State, a team coming off a bye. Despite this, Ben backs Illinois, referencing Penn State’s mediocre record against the spread in whiteout games: "Penn State is 8-7 historically... 4-2 under James Franklin."
- Warner agrees, suggesting the game could stay low-scoring and backing the under (47.5 points).
Game 5: Arizona vs. Utah (12:45 - 15:23)
- Utah is favored by 11.5 points against Arizona. Ben is wary of Arizona’s poor form, specifically their loss to Kansas State, but believes they can stay within the number.
- Both Ben and Warner recommend betting the under (48.5 points), highlighting Utah’s defense and the challenges Arizona will face playing at high altitude.
Best Bets and Conclusion (17:40 - 19:32)
- Ben’s Best Bet is Kansas State minus five, taking aim at Oklahoma State, a team he describes as "broken." He calls for the end of Mike Gundy’s reign: "Chop off that mullet Mike Gundy. You are done this year."
- Warner sticks with Alabama plus 2.5, pointing out that the new 12-team playoff format reduces the need for undefeated seasons, making road games more manageable.
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