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İçerik Ryan Faulkner tarafından sağlanmıştır. Bölümler, grafikler ve podcast açıklamaları dahil tüm podcast içeriği doğrudan Ryan Faulkner veya podcast platform ortağı tarafından yüklenir ve sağlanır. Birinin telif hakkıyla korunan çalışmanızı izniniz olmadan kullandığını düşünüyorsanız burada https://tr.player.fm/legal özetlenen süreci takip edebilirsiniz.
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Tom Chivers | It's Bayes All The Way Down... Probability & Bayes Theorem

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Manage episode 428007226 series 2823392
İçerik Ryan Faulkner tarafından sağlanmıştır. Bölümler, grafikler ve podcast açıklamaları dahil tüm podcast içeriği doğrudan Ryan Faulkner veya podcast platform ortağı tarafından yüklenir ve sağlanır. Birinin telif hakkıyla korunan çalışmanızı izniniz olmadan kullandığını düşünüyorsanız burada https://tr.player.fm/legal özetlenen süreci takip edebilirsiniz.

✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter - the ultimate compliment to the podcast...
Other episode of the podcast that suit this episode...

Follow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
Everything Is Predictable – Tom Chivers

Tom Chivers is a prolific science writer whose written for Buzzfeed, The Telegraph, Unherd, published books, written for loads of other publications as well and now writes for Semafor’s daily flagship email (something I read everyday)… but here Tom is today to discuss his book about Bayes called… EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE: How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World and, the lead is not buried in this case, it is a book about Bayes Throerom which to put it simply… is an equation to calculate probability.

Now, my Talebian listeners will recognise a contradiction to our worldview in the title here… everything is predictable? how often has Taleb’s quotes, how can we predict a future of infinite possibilities based off a finite experience of the past appeared on this podcast? We get into Chivers differences with that Talebian worldview, but as well, there is top to bottom what is Bayes theorem, why does it matter, the role of this theorem at the foundation of all of these LLM’s and therefore much of AI. a neat little anecdote of Chivers family member, Sir John Maynard Keynes and plenty more as well!

  • 00:00 – Who Is Tom Chivers
  • 01:34 – Great Great Uncle John Maynard Keynes
  • 08:44 – What’s The Point Of Bayes?
  • 19:14 – What Is Bayes Theorem?
  • 39:34 – Disagreeing With Nassim Taleb
  • 52:24 – Counterintuitive Aspects Of Bayes
  • 56:28 – Bayes & LLM’s & AI
  • 1:15:12 – Serendipity In Tom’s Life

🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg

  continue reading

183 bölüm

Artwork
iconPaylaş
 
Manage episode 428007226 series 2823392
İçerik Ryan Faulkner tarafından sağlanmıştır. Bölümler, grafikler ve podcast açıklamaları dahil tüm podcast içeriği doğrudan Ryan Faulkner veya podcast platform ortağı tarafından yüklenir ve sağlanır. Birinin telif hakkıyla korunan çalışmanızı izniniz olmadan kullandığını düşünüyorsanız burada https://tr.player.fm/legal özetlenen süreci takip edebilirsiniz.

✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter - the ultimate compliment to the podcast...
Other episode of the podcast that suit this episode...

Follow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
Everything Is Predictable – Tom Chivers

Tom Chivers is a prolific science writer whose written for Buzzfeed, The Telegraph, Unherd, published books, written for loads of other publications as well and now writes for Semafor’s daily flagship email (something I read everyday)… but here Tom is today to discuss his book about Bayes called… EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE: How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World and, the lead is not buried in this case, it is a book about Bayes Throerom which to put it simply… is an equation to calculate probability.

Now, my Talebian listeners will recognise a contradiction to our worldview in the title here… everything is predictable? how often has Taleb’s quotes, how can we predict a future of infinite possibilities based off a finite experience of the past appeared on this podcast? We get into Chivers differences with that Talebian worldview, but as well, there is top to bottom what is Bayes theorem, why does it matter, the role of this theorem at the foundation of all of these LLM’s and therefore much of AI. a neat little anecdote of Chivers family member, Sir John Maynard Keynes and plenty more as well!

  • 00:00 – Who Is Tom Chivers
  • 01:34 – Great Great Uncle John Maynard Keynes
  • 08:44 – What’s The Point Of Bayes?
  • 19:14 – What Is Bayes Theorem?
  • 39:34 – Disagreeing With Nassim Taleb
  • 52:24 – Counterintuitive Aspects Of Bayes
  • 56:28 – Bayes & LLM’s & AI
  • 1:15:12 – Serendipity In Tom’s Life

🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg

  continue reading

183 bölüm

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